Tesla, Inc.
TSLAConsumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers · NASDAQ
$398.79
P/E 277.6×
Is Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price
At $398.79, 3 of the 4 frameworks would pass on Tesla, Inc. today — Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid and Peter Lynch rates it Hold. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.
Valuo fair-value verdict
Tesla, Inc. looks 94% overvalued
TSLA trades at $398.79 versus a blended fair value of $22.74 across 2 investor frameworks. That's a 94% premium over our estimate — the exact buy-below price from each framework is below.
The four investor lenses
See how each legend judges TSLA
Pick a lens — the fair-value rail and its checklist update. The exact prices unlock with a free account.
Buffett: Wonderful businesses at a fair price — moat, high returns on capital, owner earnings.
Where Buffett marks fair value — the exact price is in the full analysis.
Buffett's checklist
Return on Equity
ROE Consistency
ROE Quality (Low Leverage)
Debt Levels
The full checklist, the exact fair value, and all four lenses side by side
Unlock free →The six questions · TSLA
signal free · score locked
- Is it cheap enough?Weak
A great business at the wrong price is still a bad buy.
Price score — free accountP/E · PEG
- Is this a good business?Weak
Returns on capital, margins, and the cash they throw off.
Quality score — free accountROIC · margins
- Can it survive a bad year?Strong
Debt, liquidity, and balance-sheet resilience.
Safety score — free accountDebt · liquidity
- Are the numbers honest?Strong
Whether reported profit is backed by real cash.
Integrity score — free accountCash-backed profit
- Is it getting better?Weak
Revenue, earnings, and cash-flow trajectory.
Growth score — free accountRevenue · earnings
- Who runs it — and are they buying?Weak
Capital allocation, dilution, and insider conviction.
Stewardship score — free accountDilution · insiders
Strong on Safety, Integrity; weak on Price, Quality, Growth, Stewardship.
Inside · Price
Price is what you pay for the cash a business earns. Roughly under ~15× earnings is cheap; over ~30× the market is already pricing in strong growth, so you need that growth to show up.
The exact number, the reference bands, and each legend's take unlock free.
Insider & congress activity
Are insiders buying TSLA?
Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, TSLA insiders bought $299.0M and sold $113.0M of stock across 71 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.
| Insider | Action | Shares | Value | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taneja VaibhavChief Financial Officer | Sell | 2,606 | $938K | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Taneja VaibhavChief Financial Officer | Sell | 2,606 | $1.0M | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Taneja VaibhavChief Financial Officer | Sell | 3,000 | $1.4M | May 13, 2026 |
| Wilson-Thompson Kathleendirector | Sell | 840 | $310K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Wilson-Thompson Kathleendirector | Sell | 1,520 | $562K | Apr 30, 2026 |
Members of Congress have also reported 50 trades in TSLA. See the full insider & congress timeline.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.
See the interactive insider chart & every tradeBear · base · bull
Three ways TSLA could play out
A fair-value target for each scenario, with the assumptions behind it.
Bear case
Bear case price target — free accountGrowth disappoints and the multiple compresses — the downside if things go wrong.
Base case
Base case price target — free accountThe most likely path given current fundamentals — the scenario to anchor on.
Bull case
Bull case price target — free accountExecution beats expectations and growth holds — the upside if things go right.
Company financials
5-Year Financials
Income statement highlights — annual, USD
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $94.8B | $97.7B | $96.8B | $81.5B | $53.8B |
| Rev. Growth | -2.9% | +0.9% | +18.8% | +51.4% | — |
| Net Income | $3.8B | $7.1B | $15.0B | $12.6B | $5.5B |
| Net Margin | 4.0% | 7.3% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 10.3% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.18 | $2.23 | $4.73 | $4.02 | $1.87 |
About Tesla, Inc.
Tesla, Inc. operates globally, specializing in the creation, production, and distribution of electric vehicles, alongside comprehensive energy generation and storage solutions. Its market reach extends across the United States, China, and various other international regions. The company's operations are primarily divided into two main segments: its Automotive business and its Energy Generation and Storage division. Within its Automotive division, Tesla not only provides a range of electric cars but also generates revenue from selling automotive regulatory credits. This segment further encompasses a variety of post-sale services, including non-warranty vehicle support, sales of pre-owned vehicles, various retail products, and car insurance offerings. Customers can acquire Tesla's sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct sales, purchases of used vehicles, or via in-app upgrades often facilitated by the extensive Tesla Supercharger network. The company supports these acquisitions with financing and leasing options. Furthermore, it ensures vehicle upkeep through its proprietary service centers and a fleet of mobile technicians, complemented by both standard and extended vehicle warranty programs. The Energy Generation and Storage segment focuses on the development, manufacturing, setup, sale, and rental of solar power systems and energy storage products, along with associated services. This caters to a diverse clientele, spanning residential users, commercial enterprises, industrial entities, and public utilities. Distribution channels include Tesla's online platform, physical stores, galleries, and a network of collaborative partners. The company also offers servicing and repairs for its energy products, including warranty support, and provides multiple financing avenues for those investing in its solar solutions. Founded in 2003, the corporation was initially named Tesla Motors, Inc., before officially rebranding to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Austin, Texas.
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- The verdict + the six-question shape
- Today's price vs. four fair-value marks
- Insider & congress activity
- 5-year financials
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- Reverse-DCF implied growth + bear/base/bull
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Data as of Oct 7, 2026 · price updated Nov 3, 2026. Sourced from SEC filings & Financial Modeling Prep.
Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice
Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.