Is Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price
At $367.81, 3 of the 4 frameworks would pass on Tesla, Inc. today — Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid and Peter Lynch rates it Hold. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.
Tesla, Inc.
TSLAConsumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers · NASDAQ
$367.81
P/E 277.6×
Tesla, Inc. operates globally, specializing in the creation, production, and distribution of electric vehicles, alongside comprehensive energy generation and storage solutions. Its market reach extends across the United States, China, and various other international regions. The company's operations are primarily divided into two main segments: its Automotive business and its Energy Generation and Storage division. Within its Automotive division, Tesla not only provides a range of electric cars but also generates revenue from selling automotive regulatory credits. This segment further encompasses a variety of post-sale services, including non-warranty vehicle support, sales of pre-owned vehicles, various retail products, and car insurance offerings. Customers can acquire Tesla's sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct sales, purchases of used vehicles, or via in-app upgrades often facilitated by the extensive Tesla Supercharger network. The company supports these acquisitions with financing and leasing options. Furthermore, it ensures vehicle upkeep through its proprietary service centers and a fleet of mobile technicians, complemented by both standard and extended vehicle warranty programs. The Energy Generation and Storage segment focuses on the development, manufacturing, setup, sale, and rental of solar power systems and energy storage products, along with associated services. This caters to a diverse clientele, spanning residential users, commercial enterprises, industrial entities, and public utilities. Distribution channels include Tesla's online platform, physical stores, galleries, and a network of collaborative partners. The company also offers servicing and repairs for its energy products, including warranty support, and provides multiple financing avenues for those investing in its solar solutions. Founded in 2003, the corporation was initially named Tesla Motors, Inc., before officially rebranding to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Austin, Texas.
Investor scorecard
How the four investors rate Tesla, Inc.
3 of 4 frameworks urge caution
Investor model analysis
At $367.81, 3 of 4 frameworks say Avoid
Investor Valuation
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Warren Buffett's valuation model · select an investor above to switch
“Does not meet Buffett's criteria. Consider other investment opportunities.”
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Intrinsic Value (DCF): locked — create a free account to viewBuy Below
Buy Below: locked — create a free account to viewStrong Buy Below
Strong Buy Below: locked — create a free account to viewMargin of Safety
Margin of Safety: locked — create a free account to viewExact buy price, intrinsic value & margin of safety — create a free account
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Insider & congress activity
Are insiders buying TSLA?
Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, TSLA insiders bought $299.0M and sold $113.0M of stock across 71 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.
| Insider | Action | Shares | Value | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taneja VaibhavChief Financial Officer | Sell | 2,606 | $938K | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Taneja VaibhavChief Financial Officer | Sell | 2,606 | $1.0M | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Taneja VaibhavChief Financial Officer | Sell | 3,000 | $1.4M | May 13, 2026 |
| Wilson-Thompson Kathleendirector | Sell | 840 | $310K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Wilson-Thompson Kathleendirector | Sell | 1,520 | $562K | Apr 30, 2026 |
Members of Congress have also reported 50 trades in TSLA. See the full insider & congress timeline.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.
See the interactive insider chart & every tradeMarket expectations
What the market is pricing in
The yearly growth rate today's price already assumes — and what that means for a buyer
Implied FCF growth
The market expects near-perfect execution
What this means for you
The price assumes almost everything goes right — little cushion if Tesla, Inc. stumbles.
This is the yearly growth today's price already assumes if it holds for 10 years, then levels off to a steady 3% — the standard long-term DCF horizon.
The exact growth bar for Tesla, Inc. — and how it compares to history — is locked.
Unlock with a free accountScenario analysis
Bear, base & bull
Three growth assumptions, three fair values — and where today's price lands
Checklist highlights
Buffett model checklist
Top criteria from the Buffett analysis — select an investor below for all models
Return on Equity
ROE measures how efficiently the company uses shareholder equity. Buffett looks for consistent ROE above 15%, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
ROE Consistency
Consistent high ROE over many years suggests a durable moat. Buffett demands durability — at most one weak year is acceptable.
ROE Quality (Low Leverage)
Buffett prefers high ROE generated by business quality, not financial leverage.
Debt Levels
Buffett prefers companies that could pay off all debt within 3-4 years of free cash flow. Uses 3-year average FCF to smooth one-off fluctuations.
Sell signals & exit criteria
Know when to exit — sell triggers tracked across all 4 models
Full checklist & risk analysis across all 4 models — free account
UnlockCompany financials
5-Year Financials
Income statement highlights — annual, USD
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $94.8B | $97.7B | $96.8B | $81.5B | $53.8B |
| Rev. Growth | -2.9% | +0.9% | +18.8% | +51.4% | — |
| Net Income | $3.8B | $7.1B | $15.0B | $12.6B | $5.5B |
| Net Margin | 4.0% | 7.3% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 10.3% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.18 | $2.23 | $4.73 | $4.02 | $1.87 |
| Free Cash Flow | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view |
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Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice
Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.