Free Preview — Full live TSLA analysis. Sign up for the exact buy prices + your own stocks.
Start Free
TS

Tesla, Inc.

TSLA

Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers · NASDAQ

$398.79

P/E 277.6×

Is Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price

At $398.79, 3 of the 4 frameworks would pass on Tesla, Inc. today — Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid and Peter Lynch rates it Hold. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.

Valuo fair-value verdict

Tesla, Inc. looks 94% overvalued

TSLA trades at $398.79 versus a blended fair value of $22.74 across 2 investor frameworks. That's a 94% premium over our estimate — the exact buy-below price from each framework is below.

The four investor lenses

See how each legend judges TSLA

Pick a lens — the fair-value rail and its checklist update. The exact prices unlock with a free account.

Buffett: Wonderful businesses at a fair price — moat, high returns on capital, owner earnings.

The Value RailOvervalued· -95% downside
0 of 1 fair values are above today's price of $399.
← Lower priceHigher price →
Buffett

Where Buffett marks fair value — the exact price is in the full analysis.

Buffett's checklist

Return on Equity

ROE Consistency

ROE Quality (Low Leverage)

Debt Levels

The full checklist, the exact fair value, and all four lenses side by side

Unlock free →

The six questions · TSLA

signal free · score locked

  • Is it cheap enough?Weak

    A great business at the wrong price is still a bad buy.

    Price score — free account

    P/E · PEG

  • Is this a good business?Weak

    Returns on capital, margins, and the cash they throw off.

    Quality score — free account

    ROIC · margins

  • Can it survive a bad year?Strong

    Debt, liquidity, and balance-sheet resilience.

    Safety score — free account

    Debt · liquidity

  • Are the numbers honest?Strong

    Whether reported profit is backed by real cash.

    Integrity score — free account

    Cash-backed profit

  • Is it getting better?Weak

    Revenue, earnings, and cash-flow trajectory.

    Growth score — free account

    Revenue · earnings

  • Who runs it — and are they buying?Weak

    Capital allocation, dilution, and insider conviction.

    Stewardship score — free account

    Dilution · insiders

Strong on Safety, Integrity; weak on Price, Quality, Growth, Stewardship.

Inside · Price

Price is what you pay for the cash a business earns. Roughly under ~15× earnings is cheap; over ~30× the market is already pricing in strong growth, so you need that growth to show up.

The exact number, the reference bands, and each legend's take unlock free.

See the numbers — free account

Insider & congress activity

Are insiders buying TSLA?

Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, TSLA insiders bought $299.0M and sold $113.0M of stock across 71 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.

Bought $299.0MSold $113.0M
Recent open-market insider trades for TSLA
InsiderActionSharesValueDate
Taneja VaibhavChief Financial OfficerSell2,606$938KSep 8, 2026
Taneja VaibhavChief Financial OfficerSell2,606$1.0MJun 8, 2026
Taneja VaibhavChief Financial OfficerSell3,000$1.4MMay 13, 2026
Wilson-Thompson KathleendirectorSell840$310KApr 30, 2026
Wilson-Thompson KathleendirectorSell1,520$562KApr 30, 2026

Members of Congress have also reported 50 trades in TSLA. See the full insider & congress timeline.

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.

See the interactive insider chart & every trade

Bear · base · bull

Three ways TSLA could play out

A fair-value target for each scenario, with the assumptions behind it.

Bear case

Bear case price target — free account

Growth disappoints and the multiple compresses — the downside if things go wrong.

Base case

Base case price target — free account

The most likely path given current fundamentals — the scenario to anchor on.

Bull case

Bull case price target — free account

Execution beats expectations and growth holds — the upside if things go right.

See all three price targets — free account

Company financials

5-Year Financials

Income statement highlights — annual, USD

Metric20252024202320222021
Revenue$94.8B
$97.7B
$96.8B
$81.5B
$53.8B
Rev. Growth-2.9%+0.9%+18.8%+51.4%—
Net Income$3.8B$7.1B$15.0B$12.6B$5.5B
Net Margin4.0%7.3%15.5%15.4%10.3%
EPS (Diluted)$1.18$2.23$4.73$4.02$1.87

About Tesla, Inc.

CEO

Elon R. Musk

Sector

Consumer Cyclical

Industry

Auto - Manufacturers

Tesla, Inc. operates globally, specializing in the creation, production, and distribution of electric vehicles, alongside comprehensive energy generation and storage solutions. Its market reach extends across the United States, China, and various other international regions. The company's operations are primarily divided into two main segments: its Automotive business and its Energy Generation and Storage division. Within its Automotive division, Tesla not only provides a range of electric cars but also generates revenue from selling automotive regulatory credits. This segment further encompasses a variety of post-sale services, including non-warranty vehicle support, sales of pre-owned vehicles, various retail products, and car insurance offerings. Customers can acquire Tesla's sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct sales, purchases of used vehicles, or via in-app upgrades often facilitated by the extensive Tesla Supercharger network. The company supports these acquisitions with financing and leasing options. Furthermore, it ensures vehicle upkeep through its proprietary service centers and a fleet of mobile technicians, complemented by both standard and extended vehicle warranty programs. The Energy Generation and Storage segment focuses on the development, manufacturing, setup, sale, and rental of solar power systems and energy storage products, along with associated services. This caters to a diverse clientele, spanning residential users, commercial enterprises, industrial entities, and public utilities. Distribution channels include Tesla's online platform, physical stores, galleries, and a network of collaborative partners. The company also offers servicing and repairs for its energy products, including warranty support, and provides multiple financing avenues for those investing in its solar solutions. Founded in 2003, the corporation was initially named Tesla Motors, Inc., before officially rebranding to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Austin, Texas.

You've seen TSLA. Now the ones you own.

Run this on a stock you actually hold

The full Buffett, Graham, Lynch & Rule #1 breakdown — exact buy prices, margin of safety, and the number behind every one of the six questions — on any ticker. Free account, 3 full analyses a month, no card.

Free right now

  • The verdict + the six-question shape
  • Today's price vs. four fair-value marks
  • Insider & congress activity
  • 5-year financials

With a free account

  • Every pillar's number + reference bands
  • All four exact buy prices & margin of safety
  • Reverse-DCF implied growth + bear/base/bull
  • Analyze any stock · watchlist · buy-zone alerts

More Consumer Cyclical stocks

Data as of Oct 7, 2026 · price updated Nov 3, 2026. Sourced from SEC filings & Financial Modeling Prep.

Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice

Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.