Is Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price
At $505.41, 3 of the 4 frameworks would pass on Microsoft Corporation today — Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid and Peter Lynch rates it Hold. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.
Microsoft Corporation
MSFTTechnology · Software - Infrastructure · NASDAQ
$505.41
P/E 23.8×
Microsoft Corporation is a prominent global technology firm that invents, markets, and provides ongoing assistance for a diverse range of software, digital services, computing devices, and comprehensive solutions. Its operations are organized into three primary divisions: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment delivers crucial tools for both enterprises and individual users. This includes the extensive Office suite (comprising Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, Microsoft Viva, and Skype for Business), along with popular consumer offerings like Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn. It also features Dynamics 365, a suite of integrated cloud and on-premises business applications tailored for organizations. The Intelligent Cloud division focuses on sophisticated infrastructure and platform services. Here, Microsoft licenses key products such as SQL Server, Windows Servers, Visual Studio, System Center, and associated Client Access Licenses. It also includes GitHub, a leading platform for developer collaboration and code hosting; Nuance, offering advanced AI solutions for healthcare and businesses; and Azure, its expansive cloud computing platform. This segment further encompasses enterprise support, Microsoft consulting services, and Nuance professional services, assisting clients with the development, deployment, and management of Microsoft's server and desktop technologies, alongside offering product training and certification. Finally, the More Personal Computing segment covers a broad spectrum of consumer and commercial computing experiences. It generates revenue through Windows operating system licensing, including agreements with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), non-volume licensing, and various Windows Commercial offerings (such as volume licensing and cloud services), as well as patent licensing and Windows Internet of Things (IoT). This division also supplies its own hardware, including Surface devices, PC accessories, and gaming/entertainment consoles. Its Gaming portfolio features Xbox hardware, content, and subscription services, in addition to video games and royalties from third-party titles. Furthermore, it manages search services like Bing and Microsoft's advertising platforms. Microsoft distributes its extensive product line via numerous channels, including original equipment manufacturers, wholesale distributors, and various resellers, complementing direct sales through digital marketplaces, its own online storefronts, and physical retail outlets. The company, established in 1975, maintains its headquarters in Redmond, Washington.
Investor scorecard
How the four investors rate Microsoft Corporation
3 of 4 frameworks urge caution
Investor model analysis
At $505.41, 3 of 4 frameworks say Avoid
Investor Valuation
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Warren Buffett's valuation model · select an investor above to switch
“Strong Buffett candidate. Shows characteristics of a wonderful business.”
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Intrinsic Value (DCF): locked — create a free account to viewBuy Below
Buy Below: locked — create a free account to viewStrong Buy Below
Strong Buy Below: locked — create a free account to viewMargin of Safety
Margin of Safety: locked — create a free account to viewExact buy price, intrinsic value & margin of safety — create a free account
Create a free account to analyze any stock with full buy targets, watchlists & price alerts
Insider & congress activity
Are insiders buying MSFT?
Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, MSFT insiders bought $0 and sold $81.9M of stock across 20 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.
| Insider | Action | Shares | Value | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hood AmyEVP, Chief Financial Officer | Sell | 4,339 | $2.2M | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Hood AmyEVP, Chief Financial Officer | Sell | 10,433 | $5.2M | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Hood AmyEVP, Chief Financial Officer | Sell | 9,821 | $4.9M | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Hood AmyEVP, Chief Financial Officer | Sell | 4,305 | $2.1M | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Hood AmyEVP, Chief Financial Officer | Sell | 8,834 | $4.4M | Sep 14, 2026 |
Members of Congress have also reported 50 trades in MSFT. See the full insider & congress timeline.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.
See the interactive insider chart & every tradeMarket expectations
What the market is pricing in
The yearly growth rate today's price already assumes — and what that means for a buyer
Implied FCF growth
The market expects near-perfect execution
What this means for you
The price assumes almost everything goes right — little cushion if Microsoft Corporation stumbles.
This is the yearly growth today's price already assumes if it holds for 10 years, then levels off to a steady 3% — the standard long-term DCF horizon.
The exact growth bar for Microsoft Corporation — and how it compares to history — is locked.
Unlock with a free accountScenario analysis
Bear, base & bull
Three growth assumptions, three fair values — and where today's price lands
Checklist highlights
Buffett model checklist
Top criteria from the Buffett analysis — select an investor below for all models
Return on Equity
ROE measures how efficiently the company uses shareholder equity. Buffett looks for consistent ROE above 15%, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
ROE Consistency
Consistent high ROE over many years suggests a durable moat. Buffett demands durability — at most one weak year is acceptable.
ROE Quality (Low Leverage)
Buffett prefers high ROE generated by business quality, not financial leverage.
Debt Levels
Buffett prefers companies that could pay off all debt within 3-4 years of free cash flow. Uses 3-year average FCF to smooth one-off fluctuations.
Sell signals & exit criteria
Know when to exit — sell triggers tracked across all 4 models
Full checklist & risk analysis across all 4 models — free account
UnlockCompany financials
5-Year Financials
Income statement highlights — annual, USD
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $331.8B | $281.7B | $245.1B | $211.9B | $198.3B |
| Rev. Growth | +17.8% | +14.9% | +15.7% | +6.9% | — |
| Net Income | $133.7B | $101.8B | $88.1B | $72.4B | $72.7B |
| Net Margin | 40.3% | 36.1% | 36.0% | 34.1% | 36.7% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $18.00 | $13.70 | $11.86 | $9.72 | $9.70 |
| Free Cash Flow | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view |
Analyze Any Stock
See the Full Picture
Sign up free — 3 full analyses/month. Or buy any stock's permanent access for $4.99. Pro gives you 50 stocks/month across all 4 models.
Free: 3/month · Pay-per: $4.99/ticker · Pro: $19.99/month
More Technology stocks
Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice
Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.