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Is NIO Inc. (NIO) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price

At $3.59, 4 of the 4 frameworks would pass on NIO Inc. today — Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.

NI

NIO Inc.

NIO

Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers · NYSE

$3.59

P/E -7.7×

CEO

Bin Li

Sector

Consumer Cyclical

Industry

Auto - Manufacturers

NIO Inc., a company based in Shanghai, China, specializes in the design, development, production, and sale of intelligent electric vehicles. Their product range includes five and six-seater electric SUVs, alongside smart electric sedans. Beyond manufacturing vehicles, NIO offers an extensive ecosystem of power solutions. These encompass home charging options (Power Home), an innovative battery swapping service (Power Swap), various public charging infrastructure like Power Charger and Destination Charger, and mobile charging vans (Power Mobile). Customers also benefit from the Power Map application, which provides real-time data on public charging networks, and the convenient One Click for Power valet charging service. The company provides a wide array of after-sales and customer support services. These include vehicle repairs, maintenance, and bodywork, available through both official NIO service centers and approved third-party facilities. They also facilitate insurance offerings, such as statutory, third-party liability, and vehicle damage policies, in collaboration with external insurers. Additional provisions cover roadside assistance, courtesy vehicle access, data package subscriptions, and automotive financing or leasing arrangements. Furthermore, NIO bundles energy and other service packages for its users. Internally, NIO is deeply involved in technological design and development, as well as the manufacturing of crucial electric vehicle components like e-powertrains and battery packs. They also oversee their sales and post-sales management operations. To complete its offerings, the company operates NIO Certified, a program dedicated to the inspection, evaluation, acquisition, and resale of pre-owned vehicles. Founded in 2014, the company was initially known as NextEV Inc. before officially changing its name to NIO Inc. in July 2017.

Investor scorecard

How the four investors rate NIO Inc.

4 of 4 frameworks urge caution

Warren Buffett
0%Avoid
Benjamin Graham
21%Avoid
Peter Lynch
33%Avoid
Phil Town (Rule #1)
18%Avoid

Investor model analysis

Details locked

At $3.58, 4 of 4 frameworks say Avoid

Business Quality17/100

Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Warren Buffett's valuation model · select an investor above to switch

Intrinsic Value

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Buy Below

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Strong Buy

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Margin of Safety

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Insider & congress activity

Are insiders buying NIO?

Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, NIO insiders bought $41K and sold $85.0M of stock across 14 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.

Bought $41KSold $85.0M
Recent open-market insider trades for NIO
InsiderActionSharesValueDate
CITIGROUP INC10 percent ownerSell850$85.0MFeb 24, 2016
ZIMMERMAN GIFFORD RChief Administrative OfficerSell700$10KSep 11, 2014
ZIMMERMAN GIFFORD RChief Administrative OfficerBuy700$10KMar 18, 2013
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/10 percent ownerBuy300$4KMar 25, 2010
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/10 percent ownerBuy31$432Mar 25, 2010

Members of Congress have also reported 10 trades in NIO. See the full insider & congress timeline.

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.

See the interactive insider chart & every trade

Scenario analysis

Bear, base & bull

Three growth assumptions, three fair values — and where today's price lands

Company financials

5-Year Financials

Income statement highlights — annual, USD

Metric20252024202320222021
Revenue$12.7B
$9.8B
$8.3B
$7.3B
$5.4B
Rev. Growth+29.5%+18.2%+12.9%+36.3%—
Net Income-$2.2B-$3.4B-$3.1B-$2.2B-$1.6B
Net Margin-17.1%-34.5%-38.0%-29.6%-29.3%
EPS (Diluted)$-0.99$-1.64$-1.85$-1.32$-1.00
Free Cash FlowLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to view

Full analysis included

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Exact buy targets, margin of safety, detailed investor checklists, and risk breakdown — all frameworks, all numbers.

Buy & sell targetsFull checklistRisk breakdown

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Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice

Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.