Is NIO Inc. (NIO) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price
At $3.59, 4 of the 4 frameworks would pass on NIO Inc. today — Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.
NIO Inc.
NIOConsumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers · NYSE
$3.59
P/E -7.7×
NIO Inc., a company based in Shanghai, China, specializes in the design, development, production, and sale of intelligent electric vehicles. Their product range includes five and six-seater electric SUVs, alongside smart electric sedans. Beyond manufacturing vehicles, NIO offers an extensive ecosystem of power solutions. These encompass home charging options (Power Home), an innovative battery swapping service (Power Swap), various public charging infrastructure like Power Charger and Destination Charger, and mobile charging vans (Power Mobile). Customers also benefit from the Power Map application, which provides real-time data on public charging networks, and the convenient One Click for Power valet charging service. The company provides a wide array of after-sales and customer support services. These include vehicle repairs, maintenance, and bodywork, available through both official NIO service centers and approved third-party facilities. They also facilitate insurance offerings, such as statutory, third-party liability, and vehicle damage policies, in collaboration with external insurers. Additional provisions cover roadside assistance, courtesy vehicle access, data package subscriptions, and automotive financing or leasing arrangements. Furthermore, NIO bundles energy and other service packages for its users. Internally, NIO is deeply involved in technological design and development, as well as the manufacturing of crucial electric vehicle components like e-powertrains and battery packs. They also oversee their sales and post-sales management operations. To complete its offerings, the company operates NIO Certified, a program dedicated to the inspection, evaluation, acquisition, and resale of pre-owned vehicles. Founded in 2014, the company was initially known as NextEV Inc. before officially changing its name to NIO Inc. in July 2017.
Investor scorecard
How the four investors rate NIO Inc.
4 of 4 frameworks urge caution
Investor model analysis
Details lockedAt $3.58, 4 of 4 frameworks say Avoid
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Warren Buffett's valuation model · select an investor above to switch
Intrinsic Value
Locked — upgrade to viewBuy Below
Locked — upgrade to viewStrong Buy
Locked — upgrade to viewMargin of Safety
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Insider & congress activity
Are insiders buying NIO?
Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, NIO insiders bought $41K and sold $85.0M of stock across 14 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.
| Insider | Action | Shares | Value | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CITIGROUP INC10 percent owner | Sell | 850 | $85.0M | Feb 24, 2016 |
| ZIMMERMAN GIFFORD RChief Administrative Officer | Sell | 700 | $10K | Sep 11, 2014 |
| ZIMMERMAN GIFFORD RChief Administrative Officer | Buy | 700 | $10K | Mar 18, 2013 |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/10 percent owner | Buy | 300 | $4K | Mar 25, 2010 |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/10 percent owner | Buy | 31 | $432 | Mar 25, 2010 |
Members of Congress have also reported 10 trades in NIO. See the full insider & congress timeline.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.
See the interactive insider chart & every tradeScenario analysis
Bear, base & bull
Three growth assumptions, three fair values — and where today's price lands
Company financials
5-Year Financials
Income statement highlights — annual, USD
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.7B | $9.8B | $8.3B | $7.3B | $5.4B |
| Rev. Growth | +29.5% | +18.2% | +12.9% | +36.3% | — |
| Net Income | -$2.2B | -$3.4B | -$3.1B | -$2.2B | -$1.6B |
| Net Margin | -17.1% | -34.5% | -38.0% | -29.6% | -29.3% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.99 | $-1.64 | $-1.85 | $-1.32 | $-1.00 |
| Free Cash Flow | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view |
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Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice
Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.