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Is McDonald's Corporation (MCD) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price

At $248.24, 3 of the 4 frameworks would pass on McDonald's Corporation today — Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid and Peter Lynch rates it Hold. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.

MC

McDonald's Corporation

MCD

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · NYSE

$248.24

P/E 22.3×

CEO

Christopher J. Kempczinski

Sector

Consumer Cyclical

Industry

Restaurants

McDonald's Corporation operates and licenses its renowned fast-food chain worldwide, with a significant presence in both the United States and international markets. Their comprehensive menu offers classic items like hamburgers and cheeseburgers, a variety of chicken options including sandwiches and nuggets, alongside lighter choices such as wraps, french fries, and salads. For breakfast, patrons can select from offerings like biscuit and bagel sandwiches, breakfast burritos, and hotcakes. Additionally, the company provides oatmeal, an assortment of desserts including milkshakes, sundaes, and soft-serve ice cream, plus a selection of baked goods. A wide array of soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages completes their offering. By December 31, 2021, the corporation's global network encompassed 40,031 establishments. McDonald's Corporation, founded in 1940, has its main corporate office located in Chicago, Illinois.

Investor scorecard

How the four investors rate McDonald's Corporation

3 of 4 frameworks urge caution

Warren Buffett
71%Avoid
Benjamin Graham
40%Avoid
Peter Lynch
63%Hold
Phil Town (Rule #1)
64%Avoid

Investor model analysis

Details locked

At $248.24, 3 of 4 frameworks say Avoid

Business Quality60/100

Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Warren Buffett's valuation model · select an investor above to switch

Intrinsic Value

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Buy Below

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Strong Buy

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Margin of Safety

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Insider & congress activity

Are insiders buying MCD?

Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, MCD insiders bought $0 and sold $25.6M of stock across 14 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.

Bought $0Sold $25.6M
Recent open-market insider trades for MCD
InsiderActionSharesValueDate
Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USASell5,252$1.5MJun 10, 2026
Ralls-Morrison DesireeEVP, Chief Legal OfficerSell2,763$769KMay 28, 2026
Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USASell333$93KMay 26, 2026
Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USASell333$101KApr 23, 2026
Erlinger Joseph M.President, McDonald's USASell2,626$806KApr 10, 2026

Members of Congress have also reported 50 trades in MCD. See the full insider & congress timeline.

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.

See the interactive insider chart & every trade

Scenario analysis

Bear, base & bull

Three growth assumptions, three fair values — and where today's price lands

What's working

Key strengths

Identified by Buffett framework analysis

ROE Consistency

Gross Margin

Net Profit Margin

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Company financials

5-Year Financials

Income statement highlights — annual, USD

Metric20252024202320222021
Revenue$26.9B
$25.9B
$25.5B
$23.2B
$23.2B
Rev. Growth+3.7%+1.7%+10.0%-0.2%—
Net Income$8.6B$8.2B$8.5B$6.2B$7.5B
Net Margin31.9%31.7%33.2%26.6%32.5%
EPS (Diluted)$12.00$11.45$11.63$8.39$10.11
Free Cash FlowLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to view

Full analysis included

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Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice

Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.