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Is The St. Joe Company (JOE) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price

At $65.30, 3 of the 4 frameworks would pass on The St. Joe Company today — Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid and Peter Lynch rates it Hold. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.

JO

The St. Joe Company

JOE

Real Estate · Real Estate - Development · NYSE

$65.30

P/E 31.7×

CEO

Jorge Luis Gonzalez

Sector

Real Estate

Industry

Real Estate - Development

The St. Joe Company, along with its affiliated entities, functions as a real estate development, asset management, and operational enterprise, primarily located in Northwest Florida. Its business activities are organized into three primary divisions: Residential, Hospitality, and Commercial. The Residential segment focuses on conceptualizing and constructing various-sized residential communities for either professional homebuilders or direct consumers. It mainly offers developed building lots and tracts of land, which may or may not be already entitled. Through its Hospitality segment, the company owns and operates diverse assets including an exclusive membership club, golf courses, beach facilities, retail outlets, marinas, and other entertainment venues. This division also manages hotels, food and beverage services, and beachfront vacation rentals, in addition to providing management services. The Commercial segment is involved in leasing various properties such as commercial spaces, multi-family units, a senior living community, and other assets. Furthermore, it undertakes the planning, development, entitlement, management, and sale of commercial land suitable for retail, office, hotel, senior living, multi-family, self-storage, and industrial applications. This segment also engages in the cultivation and sale of forestry products like pulpwood and sawtimber. A significant aspect of the company is its ownership of 170,000 acres of land throughout Northwest Florida. Founded in 1936, The St. Joe Company is headquartered in Panama City Beach, Florida.

Investor scorecard

How the four investors rate The St. Joe Company

3 of 4 frameworks urge caution

Warren Buffett
67%Avoid
Benjamin Graham
43%Avoid
Peter Lynch
61%Hold
Phil Town (Rule #1)
45%Avoid

Investor model analysis

Details locked

At $65.30, 3 of 4 frameworks say Avoid

Business Quality55/100

Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Warren Buffett's valuation model · select an investor above to switch

Intrinsic Value

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Buy Below

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Strong Buy

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Margin of Safety

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Insider & congress activity

Are insiders buying JOE?

Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, JOE insiders bought $90K and sold $250.1M of stock across 76 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.

Bought $90KSold $250.1M
Recent open-market insider trades for JOE
InsiderActionSharesValueDate
BERKOWITZ BRUCE R10 percent ownerSell140,400$9.2MJun 18, 2026
BERKOWITZ BRUCE R10 percent ownerSell26,700$1.7MJun 16, 2026
BERKOWITZ BRUCE R10 percent ownerSell94,200$6.2MJun 15, 2026
BERKOWITZ BRUCE R10 percent ownerSell63,800$4.2MJun 12, 2026
BERKOWITZ BRUCE R10 percent ownerSell29,200$1.9MJun 10, 2026

Members of Congress have also reported 2 trades in JOE. See the full insider & congress timeline.

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.

See the interactive insider chart & every trade

Scenario analysis

Bear, base & bull

Three growth assumptions, three fair values — and where today's price lands

What's working

Key strengths

Identified by Buffett framework analysis

Return on Equity

ROE Quality (Low Leverage)

Gross Margin

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Company financials

5-Year Financials

Income statement highlights — annual, USD

Metric20252024202320222021
Revenue$513M
$403M
$389M
$252M
$267M
Rev. Growth+27.5%+3.5%+54.3%-5.5%—
Net Income$116M$74M$78M$71M$75M
Net Margin22.5%18.4%20.0%28.1%27.9%
EPS (Diluted)$2.00$1.27$1.33$1.21$1.27
Free Cash FlowLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to view

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Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice

Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.