Is ConocoPhillips (COP) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price
At $131.83, 4 of the 4 frameworks would pass on ConocoPhillips today — Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.
ConocoPhillips
COPEnergy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · NYSE
$131.83
P/E 19.2×
ConocoPhillips is an energy company that engages in the global exploration, production, transportation, and marketing of various resources, including crude petroleum, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Its primary operations are centered on both conventional and tight oil formations, shale gas, heavy crude, LNG developments, and oil sands projects. The company's extensive portfolio includes unconventional resources located in North America; established conventional assets spanning North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; numerous LNG ventures; oil sands properties within Canada; and a significant inventory of potential conventional and unconventional exploration opportunities. ConocoPhillips was established in 1917 and its corporate headquarters are situated in Houston, Texas.
Investor scorecard
How the four investors rate ConocoPhillips
4 of 4 frameworks urge caution
Investor model analysis
Details lockedAt $131.83, 4 of 4 frameworks say Avoid
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Warren Buffett's valuation model · select an investor above to switch
Intrinsic Value
Locked — upgrade to viewBuy Below
Locked — upgrade to viewStrong Buy
Locked — upgrade to viewMargin of Safety
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Insider & congress activity
Are insiders buying COP?
Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, COP insiders bought $0 and sold $145.8M of stock across 15 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.
| Insider | Action | Shares | Value | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LUNDQUIST ANDREW DSenior Vice President | Sell | 9,487 | $1.3M | Aug 21, 2026 |
| Rose Kelly BrunettiSVP & General Counsel | Sell | 15,000 | $2.0M | Aug 20, 2026 |
| Mulligan Sharmiladirector | Sell | 1,974 | $235K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Lance Ryan MichaelChairman and CEO | Sell | 113,221 | $15.0M | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Rose Kelly BrunettiSVP & General Counsel | Sell | 7,700 | $1.0M | Mar 24, 2026 |
Members of Congress have also reported 50 trades in COP. See the full insider & congress timeline.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.
See the interactive insider chart & every tradeScenario analysis
Bear, base & bull
Three growth assumptions, three fair values — and where today's price lands
What's working
Key strengths
Identified by Buffett framework analysis
Company financials
5-Year Financials
Income statement highlights — annual, USD
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $58.9B | $54.7B | $56.1B | $78.5B | $45.8B |
| Rev. Growth | +7.7% | -2.5% | -28.5% | +71.3% | — |
| Net Income | $8.0B | $9.2B | $11.0B | $18.7B | $8.1B |
| Net Margin | 13.6% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 23.8% | 17.6% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $6.36 | $7.82 | $9.08 | $14.62 | $6.10 |
| Free Cash Flow | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view |
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Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice
Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.