Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price
At $19.49, the frameworks are split on ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. today — Benjamin Graham and Peter Lynch rate it Buy and Warren Buffett and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
ZTOIndustrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics · NYSE
$19.49
P/E 10.7×
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is a leading provider of expedited parcel delivery and integrated logistics services throughout the People's Republic of China. The company facilitates shipments for a diverse clientele, including online retailers, traditional businesses, and various other entities requiring swift courier solutions. By the end of 2021, specifically December 31, its operations were supported by a substantial vehicle network comprising approximately 10,900 trucks. The firm was established in 2002 and maintains its primary corporate offices in Shanghai, China.
Investor scorecard
How the four investors rate ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
A split decision across the frameworks
Investor model analysis
Details lockedAt $19.49, 2 of 4 frameworks say Buy
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Warren Buffett's valuation model · select an investor above to switch
Intrinsic Value
Locked — upgrade to viewBuy Below
Locked — upgrade to viewStrong Buy
Locked — upgrade to viewMargin of Safety
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Scenario analysis
Bear, base & bull
Three growth assumptions, three fair values — and where today's price lands
What's working
Key strengths
Identified by Buffett framework analysis
Company financials
5-Year Financials
Income statement highlights — annual, USD
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.1B | $6.6B | $5.7B | $5.3B | $4.5B |
| Rev. Growth | +7.9% | +15.3% | +8.6% | +16.3% | — |
| Net Income | $1.3B | $1.3B | $1.3B | $1.0B | $708M |
| Net Margin | 18.5% | 19.9% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 15.6% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.65 | $1.63 | $1.61 | $1.25 | $0.86 |
| Free Cash Flow | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view |
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Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice
Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.