Is Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price
At $88.12, the frameworks are split on Elastic N.V. today — Warren Buffett rates it Buy, Benjamin Graham and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid, and Peter Lynch rates it Hold. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.
Elastic N.V.
ESTCTechnology · Software - Application · NYSE
$88.12
P/E 21.8×
Elastic N.V., a company specializing in search technologies, furnishes advanced solutions engineered to operate across public, private, and multi-cloud environments. Its flagship offering is the Elastic Stack, a comprehensive software suite designed to acquire, store, search, analyze, and visually present data from a multitude of sources and formats. The Elastic Stack incorporates several core components: Elasticsearch: A powerful, distributed engine for real-time search and analytics, which also functions as a flexible data store for various types of information, including text, numerical values, geospatial coordinates, and both structured and unstructured datasets. Kibana: Serving as the intuitive user interface, management console, and configuration hub for the entire Elastic Stack. Beats: Lightweight, single-purpose data shippers designed to forward data from edge devices to either Elasticsearch or Logstash. Elastic Agent: Provides integrated host security and centralized management capabilities. Logstash: An adaptable data processing pipeline created for ingesting data into Elasticsearch or other compatible storage systems. Furthermore, Elastic delivers specialized software solutions leveraging the Elastic Stack to address specific use cases such, application search, internal workplace search, comprehensive logging, performance metrics collection, application performance management (APM), and proactive synthetic monitoring. The company's broader platform solutions introduce additional functionalities, enabling users to maximize the combined benefits of the Elastic Stack. Established in 2012, Elastic N.V. is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
Investor scorecard
How the four investors rate Elastic N.V.
A split decision across the frameworks
Investor model analysis
Details lockedAt $88.12, 2 of 4 frameworks say Avoid
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Warren Buffett's valuation model · select an investor above to switch
Intrinsic Value
Locked — upgrade to viewBuy Below
Locked — upgrade to viewStrong Buy
Locked — upgrade to viewMargin of Safety
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Insider & congress activity
Are insiders buying ESTC?
Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, ESTC insiders bought $710K and sold $134.0M of stock across 78 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.
| Insider | Action | Shares | Value | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banon ShayChief Technology Officer | Sell | 69,121 | $5.8M | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Banon ShayChief Technology Officer | Sell | 15,086 | $1.3M | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Banon ShayChief Technology Officer | Sell | 6,101 | $520K | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Banon ShayChief Technology Officer | Sell | 100 | $9K | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Banon ShayChief Technology Officer | Sell | 6,577 | $577K | Sep 9, 2026 |
Members of Congress have also reported 13 trades in ESTC. See the full insider & congress timeline.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.
See the interactive insider chart & every tradeScenario analysis
Bear, base & bull
Three growth assumptions, three fair values — and where today's price lands
What's working
Key strengths
Identified by Buffett framework analysis
Company financials
5-Year Financials
Income statement highlights — annual, USD
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.7B | $1.5B | $1.3B | $1.1B | $862M |
| Rev. Growth | +17.3% | +17.0% | +18.6% | +24.0% | — |
| Net Income | $368M | -$108M | $62M | -$236M | -$204M |
| Net Margin | 21.1% | -7.3% | 4.9% | -22.1% | -23.6% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $3.49 | $-1.04 | $0.62 | $-2.47 | $-2.20 |
| Free Cash Flow | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view |
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Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice
Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.