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Is Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price

At $88.12, the frameworks are split on Elastic N.V. today — Warren Buffett rates it Buy, Benjamin Graham and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid, and Peter Lynch rates it Hold. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.

ES

Elastic N.V.

ESTC

Technology · Software - Application · NYSE

$88.12

P/E 21.8×

CEO

Ashutosh Kulkarni

Sector

Technology

Industry

Software - Application

Elastic N.V., a company specializing in search technologies, furnishes advanced solutions engineered to operate across public, private, and multi-cloud environments. Its flagship offering is the Elastic Stack, a comprehensive software suite designed to acquire, store, search, analyze, and visually present data from a multitude of sources and formats. The Elastic Stack incorporates several core components: Elasticsearch: A powerful, distributed engine for real-time search and analytics, which also functions as a flexible data store for various types of information, including text, numerical values, geospatial coordinates, and both structured and unstructured datasets. Kibana: Serving as the intuitive user interface, management console, and configuration hub for the entire Elastic Stack. Beats: Lightweight, single-purpose data shippers designed to forward data from edge devices to either Elasticsearch or Logstash. Elastic Agent: Provides integrated host security and centralized management capabilities. Logstash: An adaptable data processing pipeline created for ingesting data into Elasticsearch or other compatible storage systems. Furthermore, Elastic delivers specialized software solutions leveraging the Elastic Stack to address specific use cases such, application search, internal workplace search, comprehensive logging, performance metrics collection, application performance management (APM), and proactive synthetic monitoring. The company's broader platform solutions introduce additional functionalities, enabling users to maximize the combined benefits of the Elastic Stack. Established in 2012, Elastic N.V. is headquartered in Mountain View, California.

Investor scorecard

How the four investors rate Elastic N.V.

A split decision across the frameworks

Warren Buffett
72%Buy
Benjamin Graham
36%Avoid
Peter Lynch
72%Hold
Phil Town (Rule #1)
45%Avoid

Investor model analysis

Details locked

At $88.12, 2 of 4 frameworks say Avoid

Business Quality58/100

Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Warren Buffett's valuation model · select an investor above to switch

Intrinsic Value

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Buy Below

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Strong Buy

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Margin of Safety

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Insider & congress activity

Are insiders buying ESTC?

Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, ESTC insiders bought $710K and sold $134.0M of stock across 78 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.

Bought $710KSold $134.0M
Recent open-market insider trades for ESTC
InsiderActionSharesValueDate
Banon ShayChief Technology OfficerSell69,121$5.8MSep 14, 2026
Banon ShayChief Technology OfficerSell15,086$1.3MSep 14, 2026
Banon ShayChief Technology OfficerSell6,101$520KSep 10, 2026
Banon ShayChief Technology OfficerSell100$9KSep 10, 2026
Banon ShayChief Technology OfficerSell6,577$577KSep 9, 2026

Members of Congress have also reported 13 trades in ESTC. See the full insider & congress timeline.

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.

See the interactive insider chart & every trade

Scenario analysis

Bear, base & bull

Three growth assumptions, three fair values — and where today's price lands

What's working

Key strengths

Identified by Buffett framework analysis

Return on Equity

ROE Quality (Low Leverage)

Debt Levels

Risk factors & concerns — free account

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Company financials

5-Year Financials

Income statement highlights — annual, USD

Metric20262025202420232022
Revenue$1.7B
$1.5B
$1.3B
$1.1B
$862M
Rev. Growth+17.3%+17.0%+18.6%+24.0%—
Net Income$368M-$108M$62M-$236M-$204M
Net Margin21.1%-7.3%4.9%-22.1%-23.6%
EPS (Diluted)$3.49$-1.04$0.62$-2.47$-2.20
Free Cash FlowLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to view

Full analysis included

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Exact buy targets, margin of safety, detailed investor checklists, and risk breakdown — all frameworks, all numbers.

Buy & sell targetsFull checklistRisk breakdown

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Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice

Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.