Is Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price
At $114.07, 4 of the 4 frameworks would pass on Dollar Tree, Inc. today — Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.
Dollar Tree, Inc.
DLTRConsumer Defensive · Discount Stores · NASDAQ
$114.07
P/E 20.0×
Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) operates as a leading discount retailer, managing its extensive operations through two principal divisions: Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment distinguishes itself by offering all its merchandise at a consistent price of $1.25. Its product range is broad, encompassing essential consumables like confectionery, various food items, health and personal care products, household cleaning chemicals, paper goods, and frozen or refrigerated foods. Beyond these daily necessities, customers can find a diverse selection of general merchandise, including toys, resilient housewares, gifts, stationery, party essentials, greeting cards, softline apparel, and arts and crafts supplies. The segment also prominently features seasonal items for holidays such as Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day. By January 29, 2022, this division maintained a substantial presence with 8,061 retail locations across its Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, supported by 15 distribution centers in the U.S. and an additional two in Canada. Conversely, the Family Dollar segment functions as a general merchandise discount chain with varying prices. Its inventory is comprehensive, covering a wide array of consumable goods such as groceries, beverages, tobacco, personal care and health products, household chemicals, paper products, hardware, automotive accessories, diapers, batteries, and pet food and supplies. Additionally, the segment provides home products, which include housewares, home décor, giftware, and domestics like bedding and towels. Shoppers can also find apparel and accessories, encompassing clothing, fashion items, and footwear. Seasonal and electronics merchandise, ranging from holiday-specific goods to pre-paid cellular phones and services, along with stationery, school supplies, and toys, are also key offerings. As of January 29, 2022, the Family Dollar brand operated 8,016 stores and was supported by 11 distribution centers. Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree, Inc. is headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.
Investor scorecard
How the four investors rate Dollar Tree, Inc.
4 of 4 frameworks urge caution
Investor model analysis
Details lockedAt $114.07, 4 of 4 frameworks say Avoid
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Warren Buffett's valuation model · select an investor above to switch
Intrinsic Value
Locked — upgrade to viewBuy Below
Locked — upgrade to viewStrong Buy
Locked — upgrade to viewMargin of Safety
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Insider & congress activity
Are insiders buying DLTR?
Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, DLTR insiders bought $342K and sold $1.8B of stock across 20 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.
| Insider | Action | Shares | Value | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stahl Stephaniedirector | Sell | 1,185 | $156K | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Aflatooni RobertChief Information Officer | Sell | 2,500 | $315K | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Mantle Ridge LPDirector by deputization | Sell | 2,230,455 | $248.3M | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mantle Ridge LPDirector by deputization | Sell | 33,981 | $5.1M | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mantle Ridge LPDirector by deputization | Sell | 900,360 | $138.5M | Jun 24, 2026 |
Members of Congress have also reported 50 trades in DLTR. See the full insider & congress timeline.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.
See the interactive insider chart & every tradeScenario analysis
Bear, base & bull
Three growth assumptions, three fair values — and where today's price lands
What's working
Key strengths
Identified by Buffett framework analysis
Company financials
5-Year Financials
Income statement highlights — annual, USD
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $19.4B | $17.6B | $16.8B | $15.4B | $26.3B |
| Rev. Growth | +10.4% | +4.8% | +8.9% | -41.4% | — |
| Net Income | $1.3B | -$3.0B | -$998M | $1.6B | $1.3B |
| Net Margin | 6.6% | -17.2% | -5.9% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $6.22 | $-14.05 | $-4.55 | $7.24 | $5.83 |
| Free Cash Flow | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view | Locked — upgrade to view |
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Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.