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Is Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Undervalued? Valuation & Fair Price

At $821.58, 3 of the 4 frameworks would pass on Caterpillar Inc. today — Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, and Phil Town (Rule #1) rate it Avoid and Peter Lynch rates it Hold. Each model calculates its own fair value and margin of safety; create a free account to see the exact buy price behind every verdict.

CA

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT

Industrials · Agricultural - Machinery · NYSE

$821.58

P/E 43.5×

CEO

Joseph E. Creed

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Agricultural - Machinery

Caterpillar Inc., a global enterprise founded in 1925 and headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois (having previously operated as Caterpillar Tractor Co. until its rebranding in 1986), is a premier manufacturer and vendor of heavy construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas power units, and industrial gas turbines across the world. The company's extensive offerings are organized into several operational divisions: Construction Industries: This segment delivers a broad spectrum of machinery for construction projects, including asphalt pavers, versatile backhoe and skid steer loaders, various sizes of excavators (from compact to heavy-duty), compactors, road-building equipment like cold planers and motorgraders, pipelayers, site preparation tractors, telehandlers, and utility vehicles, alongside a range of wheel loaders and track-type equipment. Resource Industries: Dedicated to the mining sector, this division supplies powerful equipment such as electric rope and hydraulic shovels, draglines, rotary drills, specialized hard rock vehicles, and a diverse fleet of mining, off-highway, and articulated trucks. It also offers longwall miners, wheel dozers, fleet management systems, autonomous vehicle solutions, crucial machinery components, selected work tools, and comprehensive safety and performance solutions for mining operations. Energy & Transportation: This segment focuses on power generation and propulsion systems. It provides reciprocating engines, generator sets, integrated power solutions, industrial turbines and associated services, remanufactured engines and parts, centrifugal gas compressors, and diesel-electric locomotives with related components and services. These products serve critical sectors including marine, oil and gas, industrial applications, and electric power generation. Financial Products: This segment supports customers with a variety of financial services, such as operating and finance leases, installment sale agreements, working capital loans, and wholesale financing schemes. It also offers insurance and risk management products tailored for vehicles, power generation facilities, and marine vessels. All Other: This encompassing segment is responsible for manufacturing essential consumables and components like filters, fluids, undercarriage parts, and ground engaging tools.

Investor scorecard

How the four investors rate Caterpillar Inc.

3 of 4 frameworks urge caution

Warren Buffett
56%Avoid
Benjamin Graham
29%Avoid
Peter Lynch
61%Hold
Phil Town (Rule #1)
36%Avoid

Investor model analysis

Details locked

At $821.58, 3 of 4 frameworks say Avoid

Business Quality47/100

Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Warren Buffett's valuation model · select an investor above to switch

Intrinsic Value

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Strong Buy

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Margin of Safety

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Insider & congress activity

Are insiders buying CAT?

Over recent SEC Form 4 filings, CAT insiders bought $219K and sold $113.9M of stock across 36 open-market trades. Insiders sell for many reasons, but they buy for one.

Bought $219KSold $113.9M
Recent open-market insider trades for CAT
InsiderActionSharesValueDate
Creed Joseph EChief Executive OfficerSell480$384KAug 28, 2026
Creed Joseph EChief Executive OfficerSell540$433KAug 28, 2026
Creed Joseph EChief Executive OfficerSell280$225KAug 28, 2026
Creed Joseph EChief Executive OfficerSell750$603KAug 28, 2026
Creed Joseph EChief Executive OfficerSell520$418KAug 28, 2026

Members of Congress have also reported 50 trades in CAT. See the full insider & congress timeline.

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys & sells only. Not investment advice.

See the interactive insider chart & every trade

Scenario analysis

Bear, base & bull

Three growth assumptions, three fair values — and where today's price lands

What's working

Key strengths

Identified by Buffett framework analysis

Return on Equity

Gross Margin

Net Profit Margin

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Company financials

5-Year Financials

Income statement highlights — annual, USD

Metric20252024202320222021
Revenue$67.6B
$64.8B
$67.1B
$59.4B
$51.0B
Rev. Growth+4.3%-3.4%+12.8%+16.6%—
Net Income$8.9B$10.8B$10.3B$6.7B$6.5B
Net Margin13.1%16.7%15.4%11.3%12.7%
EPS (Diluted)$18.90$22.17$20.24$12.73$11.93
Free Cash FlowLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to viewLocked — upgrade to view

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Educational Use Only · Not Financial Advice

Analysis, scores, valuations, and buy zones are derived from publicly documented investor frameworks (Buffett, Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Phil Town) for learning purposes only. They are not recommendations from licensed financial advisors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.